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Keywords

“double carbon”policy, policy tool, structure level, PMC index model

Abstract

The strategy of “Double Carbon” has become an important measure for most countries to deal with global climate change, and more and more countries put forward the goal of “Double Carbon” to restrain greenhouse gas emissions. In order to actively respond to the international call, China has successively issued a series of “Double Carbon” policies, and promised to achieve the “Carbon peaking” by 2030 and strive to achieve the goal of “Carbon Neutrality” by 2050. Based on the three-dimensional analysis framework of “ policy tool———structure level———policy effect”, this study makes a quantitative study of China’s “Double Carbon” policy. Firstly, according to Rothwell and Zegveld classification methods of policy tools, policy tools are classified into supply type, environment type and demand type from three aspects of technology promotion, market pull and environmental influence, and the development trend of “Double Carbon” policy is explored. It is found that there are still some problems in the existing policy tools. There is a structural imbalance in the application of the “Double Carbon” policy, and there is a lack of supply-oriented policy tools for education and training related to “Double Carbon” and financial support. Overuse of environmental policy tools, too much focus on “Double Carbon” target planning, and insufficient attention to green and low carbon tax incentives; Demand-oriented policy tools lack the purchase and trade control of green and low-carbon products. Secondly, the structural level of the “Double Carbon” policy is divided according to the “macro-meso-micro” level, and it is found that the “Double Carbon” policy focuses on the macro level, and relatively little is involved in the meso and micro levels, indicating that the “Double Carbon” policy needs to be further implemented. Thirdly, the PMC index model is used to construct the research and evaluation system of China’s “Double Carbon” policy effect, and 10 national “Double Carbon” policies are selected as the research objects to analyze their policy effects. The results show that the evaluation results of three policies are excellent, and the rest are good and have great development potential. However, we should consider the improvement and promotion space of each policy according to the specific situation of each policy and the quantitative evaluation results, and consider strengthening it in terms of security and incentives. This study provides a scientific and effective method of policy mining and quantitative research. On the one hand, it is convenient for the government to quickly evaluate the current development situation and evaluation effect of China’s “Double Carbon” policy; On the other hand, by forecasting the trend of China’s “Double Carbon” policy, it provides decision-making opinions for the next policy formulation, implementation, adjustment and revision. Finally, three optimization suggestions are put forward for the problems existing in the “Double Carbon” policy: 1 Increase the use of supply-oriented policy tools, and attach importance to the information support and financial support investment of green transformation projects; 2 Reasonably reduce the frequency of using environmental policy tools, implement the “Double Carbon” target planning and regulatory control, and improve the carbon tax preferential mechanism; 3 Demand-oriented policy tools should strengthen the purchasing power of green and low-carbon products and improve their trade control system.

DOI

10.16315/j.stm.2023.04.003

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